Mega trends in transportation industry will transform aftermarket
Las Vegas—There are new developments in the automotive industry that will have long-ranging effects, particularly as new technology flows from the OEMs to the aftermarket.
“It’s not so much a shift in paradigm, but an evolution on how vehicles are becoming powered and used in the future,” said Joseph Mejaly, senior vice president for Denso Products and Services Americas, who gave a presentation during AAPEX 2017 in Las Vegas.
Electrification, connected vehicles, vehicle sharing, autonomous driving and safety will all be key elements moving forward. Non-traditional players are also entering the industry, such as Apple and Google, who will drive technological change that is happening much quicker than many companies are used to than in the past.
“There’s an evolution, speed, new technology and changing utilization trends that require new, critical industry partnerships that normally wouldn’t have been associated with our industry only just a few years ago,” Mejaly said.
Denso has partnered with universities, companies and organizations to address changes within the automotive aftermarket paradigm. “Denso is a company that doesn’t want the future to be a surprise,” he said, adding that Denso invested $3.6 billion in R&D in 2016.
Automotive Technical Academy
There are two major, often discussed, issues and trends facing the industry: a growing shortage of qualified young technicians and e-Learning, which is the preferred method of training among Millennials.
“If the industry doesn’t set up its training base [with e-Learninig] as vehicles migrate toward the future, then we’re going to be playing in a ‘catch-up world,’” Mejaly said.
He introduced the Denso Automotive Technical Academy, which is a “comprehensive” online, distance-learning solution that addresses the industry’s training shortage.
“It’s designed using the latest gaming technology and ‘heavy-duty’ graphics that young technicians expect and prefer to use, and it’s very interactive with many videos that can be customized to an individual’s learning skills.”
Joseph Mejaly outlined Denso’s projected changes in vehicles in operation (VIO) from 2017 to 2030:
• VIO will experience a 16-percent increase, from 283.7 million to 329.5 million.
• EV and hybrid markets will grow rapidly from 2020, fueled by declining battery costs and government subsidies.
• EV and hybrid cars combined will be 20 percent of VIO by 2030.
• Gasoline cars will decline only 3 percent in terms of units from 2018 through 2025.
• Gasoline cars will still be 75 percent of total VIO in 2030 at close to 200 million units.
(Source: IHS Forcast, DPAM internal estimates)